{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY14D-P43","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 14th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 14th District by 43 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":66,"bestAsk":69,"spread":3,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":66,"size":15},{"price":61,"size":100},{"price":59,"size":200},{"price":7,"size":1746},{"price":7,"size":200}],"askLevels":[{"price":69,"size":112},{"price":70,"size":200},{"price":94,"size":631},{"price":94,"size":200}],"liquidityScore":"medium","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-ne-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ny14d-p43","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":34.779206686575726,"iyNo":131.05382727225253,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0455,"cvr":null,"overround":3.66,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":62.55,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-11T23:38:50.940Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:11.271Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-NY14D-P43","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY14D-P43"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-ne-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ny14d-p43","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY14D-P43","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY14D-P43","fetchedAt":"2026-05-11T23:52:41.398Z"}