{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R-P18","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 21st District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":22,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":18,"spread":1,"volume":300,"volume24h":300,"openInterest":300,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ny21r-p18","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":359.83451057042817,"iyNo":15.095394622565506,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0588,"cvr":null,"overround":1.65,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":169.34,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T09:08:41.581Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:35:57.113Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R-P18","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R-P18"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R-P18?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ny21r-p18","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R-P18","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R-P18","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T09:36:09.097Z"}