{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P33","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 2nd District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":94,"bestBid":94,"bestAsk":94,"spread":0,"volume":6,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":94,"size":12},{"price":93,"size":100},{"price":92,"size":200},{"price":53,"size":402},{"price":46,"size":200}],"askLevels":[{"price":94,"size":12}],"liquidityScore":"medium","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-pe-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-pa02d-p33","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":4.3090663898055475,"iyNo":1057.6364061200484,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":3.68,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":528.82,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-11T22:53:51.077Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:04:04.483Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P33","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P33"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-pe-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-pa02d-p33","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P33","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P33","fetchedAt":"2026-05-11T23:05:02.154Z"}