{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-TX16D-P21","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 16th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 16th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":91,"bestAsk":99,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":91,"size":100},{"price":89,"size":200},{"price":47,"size":432},{"price":45,"size":200}],"askLevels":[{"price":99,"size":100}],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-te-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-tx16d-p21","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":6.676685285303092,"iyNo":682.5880351554931,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0879,"cvr":null,"overround":3.01,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":311.29,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-11T22:53:51.070Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:00:42.728Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-TX16D-P21","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX16D-P21"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-te-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-tx16d-p21","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX16D-P21","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX16D-P21","fetchedAt":"2026-05-11T23:02:10.422Z"}