{"ticker":"KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?","description":"If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"volume":168209.91,"volume24h":188.52,"openInterest":50928.47,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","slug":"will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-by-2027-kalshi-kxsatoshibtcyear-27","indicators":{"tauDays":161,"iyYes":5437.683894275534,"iyNo":9.440423427561692,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":2718.84,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-07-24T02:38:42.903Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-07-24T02:44:53.040Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-satoshi-move-any-bitcoin-by-2027-kalshi-kxsatoshibtcyear-27","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSATOSHIBTCYEAR-27","fetchedAt":"2026-07-24T02:44:56.450Z"}