{"ticker":"KXSENATENHD-26-KMAN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New Hampshire?","description":"If Karishma Manzur wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Hampshire Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":3,"spread":3,"volume":327,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":312,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","indicators":{"tauDays":196,"iyYes":4475.713125182017,"iyNo":7.770335286774337,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.75,"cvr":null,"overround":0.08,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":559.46,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-21T21:38:17.746Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x1cf96ff28b0fa76e23f12a0cf299fc3bced8b26e0addfc1ef11fb58347c0216e","venue":"polymarket","title":"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner: Karishma Manzur","confidenceScore":0.88,"closeTimeDeltaSec":4892400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":4,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"tauDays":139,"iyYes":6297.7181555450115,"iyNo":10.933538464487869}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:39:57.922Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXSENATENHD-26-KMAN","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATENHD-26-KMAN"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x1cf96ff28b0fa76e23f12a0cf299fc3bced8b26e0addfc1ef11fb58347c0216e"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXSENATENHD-26-KMAN?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/KXSENATENHD-26-KMAN","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXSENATENHD-26-KMAN","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSENATENHD-26-KMAN","fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T21:39:57.922Z"}