{"ticker":"KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BGUI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Bruno Guimaraes leave Newcastle before Sep 15, 2026?","description":"If Bruno Guimaraes transfers out of Newcastle before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":38,"bestBid":70,"bestAsk":80,"spread":10,"volume":212.44,"volume24h":200.58,"openInterest":212.44,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-15T03:59:00Z","slug":"will-bruno-guimaraes-leave-newcastle-before-sep-15-kalshi-kxsoccertransfer-26sum-bgui","indicators":{"tauDays":63,"iyYes":249.14959214553076,"iyNo":1356.4811127923338,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":4.56,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":581.32,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-07-14T09:08:41.378Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-07-14T09:32:00.900Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BGUI","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BGUI"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BGUI?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-bruno-guimaraes-leave-newcastle-before-sep-15-kalshi-kxsoccertransfer-26sum-bgui","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BGUI","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BGUI","fetchedAt":"2026-07-14T09:32:36.808Z"}