{"ticker":"KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be above 49% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?","description":"If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is above 49%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":8,"spread":2,"volume":3075,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2083,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-07T12:00:00Z","indicators":{"tauDays":252,"iyYes":2268.1088427819136,"iyNo":9.240823714367236,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.1,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":756.07,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-30T09:08:26.683Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0xf852f41bdf9d034e15419d91ac6c382ba0b62ad66a7917377a42e5754b4c0148","venue":"polymarket","title":"How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?: ↑ 49%","confidenceScore":0.85,"closeTimeDeltaSec":648000,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":47,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":2.0638,"cvr":null,"tauDays":245,"iyYes":168.2599244869986,"iyNo":132.31974837728012}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T09:22:06.424Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xf852f41bdf9d034e15419d91ac6c382ba0b62ad66a7917377a42e5754b4c0148"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPAPPROVALYEAR-26DEC31-49","fetchedAt":"2026-04-30T09:23:03.889Z"}