{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Bob Menendez receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Bob Menendez has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":9,"spread":2,"volume":481,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":228,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-bob-menendez-receive-a-presidential-pardon-be-kalshi-kxtrumppardon-27jan01-bmen","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":2043.8268241357612,"iyNo":11.579085950127453,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2857,"cvr":null,"overround":2.29,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":729.95,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T08:38:26.580Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x0146bc6b56b60b7451fe1aa786f0f795390ba3fd2d454b005925fac454c2f831","venue":"polymarket","title":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Bob Menendez","confidenceScore":0.78,"closeTimeDeltaSec":140400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":44,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":1.2727,"cvr":null,"tauDays":236,"iyYes":197.1420194132807,"iyNo":121.70502218881103}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:51:36.895Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x0146bc6b56b60b7451fe1aa786f0f795390ba3fd2d454b005925fac454c2f831"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-bob-menendez-receive-a-presidential-pardon-be-kalshi-kxtrumppardon-27jan01-bmen","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-BMEN","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T08:51:36.895Z"}