{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Ghislaine Maxwell has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":16,"bestBid":16,"bestAsk":17,"spread":1,"volume":44902.73,"volume24h":21,"openInterest":22803.3,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-ghislaine-maxwell-receive-a-presidential-pard-kalshi-kxtrumppardon-27jan01-gmax","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":807.5357359584654,"iyNo":29.298348696905773,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0625,"cvr":null,"overround":2.29,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":378.53,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T07:53:25.556Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","venue":"polymarket","title":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Ghislaine Maxwell","confidenceScore":0.78,"closeTimeDeltaSec":140400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":12,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.4167,"cvr":null,"tauDays":236,"iyYes":1135.7641231490793,"iyNo":21.11958080235891}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"volume24h":21,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:08:11.873Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-ghislaine-maxwell-receive-a-presidential-pard-kalshi-kxtrumppardon-27jan01-gmax","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T08:08:11.873Z"}