{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Nicolás Maduro receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Nicolás Maduro has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":9,"spread":3,"volume":16482.38,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7520.41,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-nicols-maduro-receive-a-presidential-pardon-b-kalshi-kxtrumppardon-27jan01-nmad","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":2410.947429962364,"iyNo":9.82278264810379,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":2.26,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":602.74,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T10:38:27.379Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x1b53ad65dae4809d3d1097bbcd6be1f44ba5cddd47be9ce21896722c7d79681a","venue":"polymarket","title":"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?: Nicolas Maduro","confidenceScore":0.773,"closeTimeDeltaSec":140400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":9,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.2222,"cvr":null,"tauDays":236,"iyYes":1566.7356756774607,"iyNo":15.324911209983613}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T10:39:43.821Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x1b53ad65dae4809d3d1097bbcd6be1f44ba5cddd47be9ce21896722c7d79681a"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-nicols-maduro-receive-a-presidential-pardon-b-kalshi-kxtrumppardon-27jan01-nmad","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NMAD","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T10:39:43.821Z"}