{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Daniel Hale receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?","description":"If Daniel Hale has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":17,"spread":8,"volume":1231.85,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1006.13,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-01-21T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-daniel-hale-receive-a-presidential-pardon-bef-kalshi-kxtrumppardons-29jan21-dhal","indicators":{"tauDays":849,"iyYes":434.56951777764175,"iyNo":4.250710172683127,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":10.59,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":217.28,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-25T09:08:41.445Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T09:26:35.346Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-daniel-hale-receive-a-presidential-pardon-bef-kalshi-kxtrumppardons-29jan21-dhal","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL","fetchedAt":"2026-09-25T09:27:20.556Z"}