{"ticker":"KXUST30M-26JUN30-T4.95","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will 30Y US Treasury Yield for month-end be above 4.95%?","description":"If the 30Y US Treasury Yield for month-end is above 4.95%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":29,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":16,"spread":3,"volume":7638.68,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":3621.22,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-30T19:29:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":13,"size":3},{"price":2,"size":91},{"price":1,"size":789}],"askLevels":[{"price":16,"size":10},{"price":17,"size":5},{"price":25,"size":5},{"price":45,"size":91},{"price":46,"size":1}],"liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Stagflation traps the Fed in an impossible triangle. Powell stays until Warsh co","thesisSlug":"powell-warsh-fed-succession","thesisPrice":55,"edge":41,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-06-23T06:05:54.977Z","firstDetectedPrice":29}],"slug":"will-30y-us-treasury-yield-for-month-end-be-above-kalshi-kxust30m-26jun30-t4.95","indicators":{"tauDays":4,"iyYes":55389.848246991096,"iyNo":1236.7399066906455,"cri":6.692,"ee":39,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.2308,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":14128.85,"vr":1.962,"iar":0.61,"adjIy":42605.87,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T09:38:41.908Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.692,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":41,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"direct","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:37:18.054Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXUST30M-26JUN30-T4.95","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUST30M-26JUN30-T4.95"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-30y-us-treasury-yield-for-month-end-be-above-kalshi-kxust30m-26jun30-t4.95","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXUST30M-26JUN30-T4.95","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXUST30M-26JUN30-T4.95","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T09:40:58.835Z"}