{"ticker":"KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T120","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $120 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":22,"bestBid":22,"bestAsk":24,"spread":2,"volume":756829.6,"volume24h":1291.16,"openInterest":297428.67,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T19:30:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Putin profits from Iran war oil prices. Russian military budget fully funded. Uk","thesisSlug":"russia-escalates-ukraine","thesisPrice":85,"edge":28,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-08T06:04:19.546Z","firstDetectedPrice":66},{"thesisTitle":"The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr","thesisSlug":"us-iran-ground-invasion","thesisPrice":85,"edge":30,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-08T06:03:56.493Z","firstDetectedPrice":66},{"thesisTitle":"Oil above $100 drives electricity costs up. Data center operating costs surge. A","thesisSlug":"energy-costs-kill-ai-scaling","thesisPrice":83,"edge":27,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-08T06:04:06.771Z","firstDetectedPrice":66},{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":85,"edge":63,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-07-31T06:07:35.593Z","firstDetectedPrice":41}],"slug":"will-the-maximum-wti-front-month-settle-price-reac-kalshi-kxwtimax-26dec31-t120","indicators":{"tauDays":144,"iyYes":901.5793313809143,"iyNo":71.72327356810692,"cri":3.545,"ee":62,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0455,"cvr":null,"overround":0.53,"rv":295.23,"vr":0.953,"iar":0.35,"adjIy":860.56,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-08-10T06:38:42.473Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"volume24h":1291.16,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15,"sfEdgeCents":28,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T06:57:16.283Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T120","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T120"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T120?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-maximum-wti-front-month-settle-price-reac-kalshi-kxwtimax-26dec31-t120","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T120","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T120","fetchedAt":"2026-08-10T06:57:16.283Z"}