{"ticker":"KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T125","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $125 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":48,"bestBid":47,"bestAsk":48,"spread":1,"volume":238614.95,"volume24h":1204.75,"openInterest":85384.94,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T19:30:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Putin profits from Iran war oil prices. Russian military budget fully funded. Uk","thesisSlug":"russia-escalates-ukraine","thesisPrice":78,"edge":27,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-08T06:04:19.546Z","firstDetectedPrice":47},{"thesisTitle":"The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr","thesisSlug":"us-iran-ground-invasion","thesisPrice":80,"edge":26,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-08T06:03:56.493Z","firstDetectedPrice":47},{"thesisTitle":"The Hormuz Strait is America's final battle — not because it will lose militaril","thesisSlug":"hormuz-sarhu","thesisPrice":92,"edge":41,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-08T06:04:29.930Z","firstDetectedPrice":47},{"thesisTitle":"Oil above $100 drives electricity costs up. Data center operating costs surge. A","thesisSlug":"energy-costs-kill-ai-scaling","thesisPrice":72,"edge":21,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-08T06:04:06.771Z","firstDetectedPrice":47}],"indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":162.34917451172512,"iyNo":127.67152954660045,"cri":1.128,"ee":27,"eeSource":"regime","las":0.2766,"cvr":null,"overround":2.42,"rv":957.8,"vr":6.886,"iar":0.8,"adjIy":117.44,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T06:53:24.545Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x86e11d511362bf0078f248de6929c832cf60c5de630f06c224a498f6198a30d2","venue":"polymarket","title":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?: ↑ $125","confidenceScore":0.72,"closeTimeDeltaSec":21238200,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":6,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"tauDays":8,"iyYes":74138.89969315873,"iyNo":302.0597995647028}},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T07:01:32.065Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T125","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T125"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x86e11d511362bf0078f248de6929c832cf60c5de630f06c224a498f6198a30d2"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T125?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T125","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T125","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T125","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T07:05:33.490Z"}