{"ticker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM400T499","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democratic win the 2028 popular vote by 4.0% to 4.99%?","description":"If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 4.00-4.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":1640,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1360,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":5,"size":2970},{"price":3,"size":145},{"price":2,"size":10100},{"price":1,"size":2028}],"askLevels":[{"price":6,"size":1990},{"price":7,"size":110},{"price":8,"size":1100},{"price":20,"size":126},{"price":21,"size":191}],"liquidityScore":"high","slug":"will-democratic-win-the-2028-popular-vote-by-40-to-kalshi-popvotemov-28nov07-dem400t499","indicators":{"tauDays":1074,"iyYes":645.8582650766226,"iyNo":1.789081066694246,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.2,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":258.34,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T20:38:24.879Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.295,"label":"maker","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.05},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:50:31.153Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM400T499","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM400T499"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-democratic-win-the-2028-popular-vote-by-40-to-kalshi-popvotemov-28nov07-dem400t499","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM400T499","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-DEM400T499","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T20:51:34.341Z"}