{"ticker":"POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP1T99","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 0.01% to 0.99%?","description":"If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 0.01-0.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"volume":3270,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1770,"status":"active","closeTime":"2029-05-06T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-republican-win-the-2028-popular-vote-by-001-t-kalshi-popvotemov-28nov07-rep1t99","indicators":{"tauDays":1015,"iyYes":863.0235774888774,"iyNo":1.4983048220293012,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.14,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":431.51,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-07-26T14:08:42.156Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-07-26T14:35:54.650Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP1T99","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP1T99"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP1T99?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-republican-win-the-2028-popular-vote-by-001-t-kalshi-popvotemov-28nov07-rep1t99","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP1T99","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/POPVOTEMOV-28NOV07-REP1T99","fetchedAt":"2026-07-26T14:37:55.883Z"}