{"ticker":"SENATEME-26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democratics win the Senate race in Maine?","description":"If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":63,"bestBid":63,"bestAsk":64,"spread":1,"volume":1551697.68,"volume24h":1909.56,"openInterest":679994.94,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":63,"size":24569},{"price":62,"size":4292},{"price":61,"size":417},{"price":60,"size":23},{"price":59,"size":3560}],"askLevels":[{"price":64,"size":2817},{"price":65,"size":8251},{"price":66,"size":6055},{"price":67,"size":7810},{"price":68,"size":2145}],"liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":72,"edge":9,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-30T06:05:59.730Z","firstDetectedPrice":65}],"slug":"will-democratics-win-the-senate-race-in-maine-kalshi-senateme-26-d","indicators":{"tauDays":478,"iyYes":44.80191763486746,"iyNo":129.88956252212483,"cri":1.703,"ee":8,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0159,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":63.91,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-07-13T03:38:41.890Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.427,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":9,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T03:49:19.219Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for SENATEME-26-D","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/SENATEME-26-D"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-democratics-win-the-senate-race-in-maine-kalshi-senateme-26-d","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/SENATEME-26-D","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/SENATEME-26-D","fetchedAt":"2026-07-13T03:51:09.220Z"}