SimpleFunctions

Álex Remiro · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad

Álex Remiro is priced at 16¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad.

Price history

16¢ current

34¢
25¢50¢
May 17, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome

Álex Remiro

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Ferran Torres 97¢

Range

1¢-97¢

Family volume

$15K

Identifier

0x43cc945b...75aa

May 24, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

16¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

Reported volume

$977

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad

Closes

Jun 2, 2026

Family volume

$15K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 20¢

Polymarket
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢11
11¢100
10¢100
9¢100
6¢8
5¢100
3¢14
2¢54
AskSize
20¢21
93¢9
94¢33
95¢13
96¢25
99¢39

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 2, 2026

Identifier

0x43cc945b…75aa

SF Signal
SF Index
21915.03
Regime
neutral

Event family

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$15K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Ferran Torres 97¢

Current share

7%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Ferran Torres

polymarket · 0x9315ffb1b90a1bbd2572222348ee0e619b4e0e1eac8781ded601c466168aef1e

97¢
$300$0

Dani Olmo

polymarket · 0xa6769d3260751d84c27fa45c21154e82bdea35e776f4ba2f43125c1a1b2640b3

96¢
$820$0

David Raya

polymarket · 0xc4b84c7fafe1f5ef858f23d7fbb7c351b0c15280de6e6bf92715590d3d9a9c51

96¢
$438$0

Pau Cubarsí

polymarket · 0x6431d4d751675a1b66697a5b101ad101edd10b865ce464249d2807e33232bc33

94¢
$386$0

Lamine Yamal

polymarket · 0xad0768713506377f0a0f40e41695ccb602226fa07da08003737424a59356e704

94¢
$333$00.1

Martín Zubimendi

polymarket · 0xe91629ffaa10b946a40e547643c2b849409e70b065da6a9a89e967a2ccced972

93¢
$582$0

Dean Huijsen

polymarket · 0xe1024fbec6c23c9115eb5639f0d80a18dc33eb97d91dd336756907e8aec6094d

83¢
$2K$230

Borja Iglesias

polymarket · 0x8517ab9d96b41e10d923ad6e4252bdd8e424ea5acf0a65af9eeff738a8529c17

75¢
$508$0

Pablo Fornals

polymarket · 0x46d46153f39ef18dd497721d9a8fa4f508171229e06d6f5b71bc09ecd64cf1da

70¢
$2K$215

Yeremy Pino

polymarket · 0x4ef08927f81c77f4bcc9935a5985befd52e5f2c37d10943e5d341071002465a0

60¢
$430$0

Marcos Llorente

polymarket · 0x49abb2031fcaa255cb8119110ef102263a13bcec94f2c2536e42da0b9ebd7113

55¢
$425$300

Víctor Muñoz

polymarket · 0xacf076315ed1006c322c8d8d26ea374cbfe38e886da1f7af55561b5e27c79d5a

50¢
$315$0

Cristhian Mosquera

polymarket · 0xf964d28f5b214f61dfa379744d7ca03515d43213e1ba07bac9612018e46418fa

31¢
$1K$66

Carlos Soler

polymarket · 0x43f6fa4e494322aa12769f4297d6ff8d5cb2bf2feda6a46458d47d97ba30f717

23¢
$718$60

Álex Remiro

polymarket · 0x43cc945b9b72faf60ae18e0ea43544e44b6aa1d441cfa423531ebe6a602375aa

15¢
$977$0

Fermín López

polymarket · 0xa0840d386b5ae4a8f1a7921bc3a61ee5381e6545eb0e1fd18db080db33f3ecae

1¢
$3K$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

21915.0%

IY (No)

795.1%

Adj IY

21915%

CRI

5

RV

2762%

VR

3.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

21915.0%
795.1%
Adj IY
21915%
5
RV
2762%
VR
3.67
IAR
2.3/h
Overround
18.2%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.