Martín Zubimendi · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad
Martín Zubimendi is priced at 95¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 91¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad.
Price history
95¢ current
+46¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
Martín Zubimendi
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
David Raya 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
0xe91629ff...d972
May 24, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$582
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0xe91629ff…d972
Event family
2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Spain Squad.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
David Raya 98¢
Current share
4%
David Raya
polymarket · 0xc4b84c7fafe1f5ef858f23d7fbb7c351b0c15280de6e6bf92715590d3d9a9c51
Ferran Torres
polymarket · 0x9315ffb1b90a1bbd2572222348ee0e619b4e0e1eac8781ded601c466168aef1e
Dani Olmo
polymarket · 0xa6769d3260751d84c27fa45c21154e82bdea35e776f4ba2f43125c1a1b2640b3
Martín Zubimendi
polymarket · 0xe91629ffaa10b946a40e547643c2b849409e70b065da6a9a89e967a2ccced972
Pau Cubarsí
polymarket · 0x6431d4d751675a1b66697a5b101ad101edd10b865ce464249d2807e33232bc33
Lamine Yamal
polymarket · 0xad0768713506377f0a0f40e41695ccb602226fa07da08003737424a59356e704
Dean Huijsen
polymarket · 0xe1024fbec6c23c9115eb5639f0d80a18dc33eb97d91dd336756907e8aec6094d
Borja Iglesias
polymarket · 0x8517ab9d96b41e10d923ad6e4252bdd8e424ea5acf0a65af9eeff738a8529c17
Marcos Llorente
polymarket · 0x49abb2031fcaa255cb8119110ef102263a13bcec94f2c2536e42da0b9ebd7113
Pablo Fornals
polymarket · 0x46d46153f39ef18dd497721d9a8fa4f508171229e06d6f5b71bc09ecd64cf1da
Víctor Muñoz
polymarket · 0xacf076315ed1006c322c8d8d26ea374cbfe38e886da1f7af55561b5e27c79d5a
Yeremy Pino
polymarket · 0x4ef08927f81c77f4bcc9935a5985befd52e5f2c37d10943e5d341071002465a0
Cristhian Mosquera
polymarket · 0xf964d28f5b214f61dfa379744d7ca03515d43213e1ba07bac9612018e46418fa
Carlos Soler
polymarket · 0x43f6fa4e494322aa12769f4297d6ff8d5cb2bf2feda6a46458d47d97ba30f717
Álex Remiro
polymarket · 0x43cc945b9b72faf60ae18e0ea43544e44b6aa1d441cfa423531ebe6a602375aa
Fermín López
polymarket · 0xa0840d386b5ae4a8f1a7921bc3a61ee5381e6545eb0e1fd18db080db33f3ecae
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.