Harry Kane · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Harry Kane is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside 2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer.
Price history
14¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Harry Kane
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Harry Kane 14¢
Range
0¢-14¢
Family volume
$155K
Identifier
0xb9caf777...1e3e
May 23, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Family volume
$155K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Identifier
0xb9caf777…1e3e
Event family
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$155K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Harry Kane 14¢
Current share
8%
Kylian Mbappe
polymarket · 0xfa021d817ad33e0fa28e04051b4fea25b0a090e94bb1b2a38b377bce9778eb8e
Harry Kane
polymarket · 0xb9caf777115e4f38eb4e2de7fab3e88052b92a78f161f91db232be31a93d1e3e
Erling Haaland
polymarket · 0xb4431b4a10c926381c72d581ba9bec629f430feea5e72fbaff3a9e2ac87a3001
Mikel Oyarzabal
polymarket · 0xeefef4320deec275a7191ad901469eec59544dc1fd53fed93f6d3b97c33787a5
Ousmane Dembele
polymarket · 0x624517215cc5c73eec1ff74db2ef92bf798fac6b61cd00d11a05418520290f69
Lionel Messi
polymarket · 0xd2a8caba5559bc21e14f6b2aa504cb14a1782751658b71409e25b82e432c0a97
Raphinha
polymarket · 0x6d4e8d2d25f1826c0bd0f0b66948bfd612e6014717d58ac79606ba1256fa57d1
Julian Alvarez
polymarket · 0xff8763ee77aec9cc4223cd429c726d35877ddcc47da679d6428510a929286ad1
Lamine Yamal
polymarket · 0xf47125a3640583900868a2e1f102d2c093c8a1512fb379709446d9cad73578d8
Cristiano Ronaldo
polymarket · 0xd7e4d5460c92e0bfb839e9ac51677527894a176208481734400756db85d985e7
Lautaro Martinez
polymarket · 0xd2828d51d403c9317a50226752257eb5f4e9f85bb49ad6a191e5fba6eceb781c
Michael Olise
polymarket · 0x8a743d2c48a6ffc5763e2209d4cf1053ccbae1a6eb80cc33bd702a3fe4b10156
Ferran Torres
polymarket · 0x4a6fd3438ea67c71c56d1fb2613b83d617e0ae5c6496550c0a90cbf780297728
Luis Diaz
polymarket · 0x74cff4f2fa829c29f677232157c2793bb8b1ee836c9978ffe9e426182cc7244f
Rodrygo
polymarket · 0xacf12709f9401864eefaf79ea3c85b649db1b05faf131ac0d9ac7c215ede0dfa
Serge Gnabry
polymarket · 0x0c03f45ca5053de6a7bb9716cdd24376a8953154b788519a3d26b09b711c0365
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.