Unbeaten Champion for 2026 FIFA World Cup
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion is priced at 77¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 76¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
77¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion goes unbeaten in every match during the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss during any match in any stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmed unbeaten champion within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$88K
Identifier
0x00406e85...9ee8
May 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$98
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Family volume
$88K
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion goes unbeaten in every match during the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss during any match in any stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmed unbeaten champion within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 20, 2026
Identifier
0x00406e85…9ee8
Event family
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$88K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion 77¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
Read 77% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.