SimpleFunctions

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE.

Price history

36¢ current

35¢40¢
May 24, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Cleveland wins the New York at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 by more than 3.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

New York wins by over 1.5 points 53¢

Range

5¢-53¢

Family volume

$134K

Identifier

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE-CLE3

May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

36¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

35¢

Ask

36¢

Spread

24h volume

$43

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Family volume

$134K

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 36¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
35¢4.5K
34¢500
33¢1.9K
32¢1.6K
31¢47
AskSize
36¢112
37¢1.6K
38¢5.2K
39¢768
40¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cleveland wins the New York at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 by more than 3.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Identifier

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE-CLE3

SF Signal
SF Index
2247.84
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$134K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

New York wins by over 1.5 points 53¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

NBA Game Point Spread Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBASPREAD series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4495.7%

IY (No)

1303.5%

Adj IY

2248%

CRI

2

Overround

8.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4495.7%
1303.5%
Adj IY
2248%
2
Overround
8.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.