SimpleFunctions

Raphael Wicky · MLS: 2026 Coach of the Year

Raphael Wicky is priced at 22¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 43¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside MLS: 2026 Coach of the Year.

Price history

22¢ current

22¢
25¢50¢
Apr 25, 2026May 3, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the coach who wins the 2026 MLS Coach of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Raphael Wicky

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Nico Estévez 48¢

Range

4¢-48¢

Family volume

$18K

Identifier

0x0e973137...e47e

May 24, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

Ask

43¢

Spread

43¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · MLS: 2026 Coach of the Year

Closes

Nov 20, 2026

Family volume

$18K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 43¢

Polymarket
43¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
43¢5
43¢5
72¢15
99¢90
99¢166

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the coach who wins the 2026 MLS Coach of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Nov 20, 2026

Identifier

0x0e973137…e47e

SF Signal
SF Index
360.69
Regime
neutral

Event family

MLS: 2026 Coach of the Year.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$18K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Nico Estévez 48¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Nico Estévez

polymarket · 0x5dc2ddbc594ab2c12936cb2abfee449b6fbea227e13c7b948b9ff11f731333ae

48¢
$0$0

Brian Schmetzer

polymarket · 0x782e1945b7aba2060fd01c896573a43ed7000e2701a2df1a104170d79b97d187

43¢
$0$0

Javier Mascherano

polymarket · 0x29e6e74503980d8adcb80fc3ac4abe3d4b4e0742578fa41da3a7f909d9444197

42¢
$141$0

Bradley Carnell

polymarket · 0x6bfc0975d451aa44badbbb55240b99d5e952d9ef0731bd13b0f1f40620509e4d

34¢
$11K$0

Ben Olsen

polymarket · 0x261e834ae34f05ab65088ee52a061f5e649779b30d571cda04ff090cae47de31

29¢
$0$0

Robin Fraser

polymarket · 0x5b9b02a9eb59c032617c1a1870b4c5c0b9ffbe316346ba02fa42f70de08d4674

29¢
$0$0

Marc Dos Santos

polymarket · 0xf9b7d3fdb9de45129fb3b31d0bc921b19e25f44640e7b6fd5ddbeb79f4d486c9

28¢
$3K$0

B.J. Callaghan

polymarket · 0x35bf84c3c903ae5b1103ba440cd5994699f3e22e5bde21e3aa8cc894543d9f82

28¢
$0$0

Dean Smith

polymarket · 0x7becce5fd42ea0701aa3ff8a0e766d302a5fd9208f744c44eda530c577b14591

28¢
$0$0

Raphael Wicky

polymarket · 0x0e973137aee6e4ad53bf3c8d0e193914a4dec2a367d8428d8dbbb57688c0e47e

22¢
$0$0

Greg Vanney

polymarket · 0x7093a4d3cb0273425f632ba4548a283e8a82ba30486e7d4b89b31f5e91cc5948

22¢
$0$0

Mikey Varas

polymarket · 0x78bb07f24792b6a39d452364754ea6323ea0e6bf2c9980b0989c664294ec0f44

17¢
$3K$0

Gregg Berhalter

polymarket · 0x42952805a48f6bc646b9e8746a3ca198d5ac030dff94033060724a548afcb9d8

17¢
$0$0

Óscar Pareja

polymarket · 0x47eb5e443f65bf6edbde5b12e4a16ff65e9c6f35c88d83aafaf2bad02ae996ea

16¢
$0$0

Phil Neville

polymarket · 0x7579861176d9b2d4173976ca764b483af7fda1d7409021325df5a64f3c53df4f

15¢
$0$0

Pat Noonan

polymarket · 0x22518589c54b4ba99ce67ac4fa8780baca0161ac77ba587e3830840a4e502091

4¢
$769$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

721.4%

IY (No)

57.4%

Adj IY

361%

CRI

4

Overround

6.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

721.4%
57.4%
Adj IY
361%
4
Overround
6.4%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.