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New York wins by over 3.5 points

New York wins by over 3.5 points is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE.

Price history

47¢ current

+3¢
40¢45¢50¢
May 24, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If New York wins the New York at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 by more than 3.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New York wins by over 3.5 points

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

New York wins by over 1.5 points 53¢

Range

5¢-53¢

Family volume

$135K

Identifier

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE-NYK3

May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

47¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

46¢

Ask

47¢

Spread

24h volume

$11K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Family volume

$135K

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 47¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
46¢1.5K
45¢15K
44¢11K
43¢7.7K
40¢40
AskSize
47¢7.0K
48¢17K
49¢10K
50¢2.1K
51¢1.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New York wins the New York at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 by more than 3.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 9, 2026

Identifier

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE-NYK3

SF Signal
SF Index
1359.06
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBASPREAD-26MAY25NYKCLE.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$135K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

New York wins by over 1.5 points 53¢

Current share

8%

Browse this series

NBA Game Point Spread Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBASPREAD series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2841.7%

IY (No)

2062.1%

Adj IY

1359%

CRI

1

Overround

8.0%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2841.7%
2062.1%
Adj IY
1359%
1
Overround
8.0%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.