SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T
>$3.6T is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?.
Price history
3¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Outcome
>$3.6T
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
>$1T 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$3.0M
Identifier
0x2732048b...af63
May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$20K
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$3.0M
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
0x2732048b…af63
Event family
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ .
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3.0M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
>$1T 98¢
Current share
1%
>$1T
polymarket · 0xfacf82cdf9eeea5d4c0a450acf939bbeab9fe307b5e53191a59171d12072adbf
>$1.2T
polymarket · 0x1f31af453f8396fad7664485160aacf7bfbec04c366b5c4c04a1cd2ad2338f38
>$1.4T
polymarket · 0x6113371e7e1a872fbb238ab0697c52757b1cdcff77a3dbd6ac1541604dfa6388
>$1.6T
polymarket · 0xe5ffcfa3e5fd5edff7edee4db111e7035439c62a463021ad0f38a32f66647f3e
>$1.8T
polymarket · 0xd4d841659e8b1fe050980ec9b7deae31accc10e529082fe9468ef9699d11aec2
>$2T
polymarket · 0x6619036865c2d27f1b1c00cd565ce74f6aa72ef93be29c315be36941d3559c59
>$2.2T
polymarket · 0x93f2e17cfd239c4667eb3d41ff04e2cd1ae6f3f663210cbc42ec1296ff880805
>$2.4T
polymarket · 0xf471786ca9608b18a61e1f555681428c80ad2a2695fdd2df69e796defff9f897
>$2.6T
polymarket · 0x9319e7f316532c47f6865fa813f984473bda9d67e60af1dec658c3c786767531
>$2.8T
polymarket · 0x659ddeb762d5e28b0fe991e0ffe82dd0ce87a939f6658934d059cea31f3b7fac
>$3T
polymarket · 0x3f4b9f2f79e5664cacdf4afacde6c45e59a9e4abedf7b8d10bf5f07307f9566f
>$3.2T
polymarket · 0x132ff62c3e4687197a232df28ae76de614c54421fd650a208aafb8c20dc154e1
>$3.4T
polymarket · 0xde71d221fd60bdd0e267e44ada1969e18b4f8f8f39e4210f85e399dee6bd22f4
>$3.6T
polymarket · 0x2732048b5334b03103e78c8ae7fa252eab1cce53c45bc3598d82475122afaf63
>$4T
polymarket · 0x2576d8fe9a5ed75f58c2ef34bad961916d4799254c8d248734aee5cf5224eb07
>$3.8T
polymarket · 0x75522f5e64d8a8382ef0c538a90b10203871798f1306a950252884d8d160b769
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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