Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
99¢ current
+75¢Contract brief
If Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$128K
Identifier
KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY071910TBBOS-TB3
May 24, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$128K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
May 8, 2026
Family volume
$128K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Tampa Bay vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 7, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY071910TBBOS-TB3
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$128K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs 99¢
Current share
100%
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs
kalshi · KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY071910TBBOS-TB3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.