Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence
Devin Nunes is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence.
Price history
16¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Devin Nunes before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Devin Nunes
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Aaron Lukas 32¢
Range
1¢-32¢
Family volume
$18K
Identifier
KXNEXTODNI-29-DNUN
May 24, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$18K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Devin Nunes before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXNEXTODNI-29-DNUN
Event family
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$18K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Aaron Lukas 32¢
Current share
16%
Aaron Lukas
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-ALUK
Devin Nunes
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-DNUN
Elise Stefanik
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-ESTE
Michael Ellis
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-MELL
Mike Flynn
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-MFLY
Richard Grenell
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-RGRE
John Ratcliffe
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-JRAT
Sebastian Gorka
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-SGOR
Stephen Miller
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-SMIL
Scott Perry
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-SPER
Derek Harvey
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-DHAR
Kash Patel
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-KPAT
Mike Waltz
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-MWAL
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-AKEN
Stacey Dixon
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-SDIX
Rick Crawford
kalshi · KXNEXTODNI-29-RCRA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.