BTC trimmed mean above $80000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026
Above $80,000.00 is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside Will BTC trimmed mean be above $.
Price history
5¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $ 80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $80,000.00
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Above $75,000.00 10¢
Range
1¢-10¢
Family volume
$37K
Identifier
KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-8000000
Jun 9, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · Will BTC trimmed mean be above $
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$37K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever above $ 80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-8000000
Event family
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$37K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above $75,000.00 10¢
Current share
4%
Above $75,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-7500000
Above $77,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-7750000
Above $80,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-8000000
Above $82,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-8250000
Above $85,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-8500000
Above $87,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-8750000
Above $90,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-9000000
Above $92,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUN30-9250000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.