Dune
Dune: Part Three is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXRTCOMPARE-DUNVSAVE26DEC21.
Price history
87¢ current
+82¢Contract brief
If Dune: Part Three has the highest Rotten Tomatoes score among Dune: Part Three and Avengers: Doomsday on Dec 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dune: Part Three
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Dune: Part Three 80¢
Range
19¢-80¢
Family volume
$262
Identifier
KXRTCOMPARE-DUNVSAVE26DEC21-DUN
Sep 3, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$93
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXRTCOMPARE-DUNVSAVE26DEC21
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Family volume
$262
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 87¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dune: Part Three has the highest Rotten Tomatoes score among Dune: Part Three and Avengers: Doomsday on Dec 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KXRTCOMPARE-DUNVSAVE26DEC21-DUN
Event family
KXRTCOMPARE-DUNVSAVE26DEC21.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$262
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Dune: Part Three 80¢
Current share
14%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.