SimpleFunctions

Ferrari N.V. report Above 3300 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026

Above 3300 is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3.

Price history

81¢ current

+78¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 22, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3300 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 3300

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Above 3300 87¢

Range

7¢-87¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3300

May 24, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

81¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

87¢

Ask

92¢

Spread

Reported volume

$22

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

87 / 92¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
87¢6
86¢48
85¢1.5K
3¢5.0K
AskSize
92¢500
97¢43
99¢751

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3300 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Identifier

KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3300

SF Signal
SF Index
2524.90
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 3300 87¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

56.4%

IY (No)

2524.9%

Adj IY

2525%

CRI

7

RV

315%

VR

3.91

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

56.4%
2524.9%
Adj IY
2525%
7
RV
315%
VR
3.91
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
2.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.