Ferrari N.V. report Above 3500 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026
Above 3500 is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3.
Price history
31¢ current
+29¢Contract brief
If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3500 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 3500
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
Above 3300 87¢
Range
7¢-87¢
Family volume
$553
Identifier
KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3500
May 24, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$54
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Family volume
$553
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ferrari N.V. reports Above 3500 total number of car shipments in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Identifier
KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3500
Event family
Will Ferrari N.V. report Above 3.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$553
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Above 3300 87¢
Current share
10%
Above 3300
kalshi · KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3300
Above 3350
kalshi · KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3350
Above 3400
kalshi · KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3400
Above 3450
kalshi · KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3450
Above 3500
kalshi · KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3500
Above 3550
kalshi · KXRACE-26JULSHIP-3550
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.