Florida St. win at least 11 games this season
11+ wins is priced at 12¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 9 inside Will Florida St. win at least.
Price history
12¢ current
Contract brief
If the Florida St. college football team has at least 11 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
11+ wins
Rank
#6 of 9
Leader
7+ wins 27¢
Range
1¢-27¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-11
May 24, 2026, 7:02 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
21¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Florida St. win at least
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Florida St. college football team has at least 11 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 20, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-11
Event family
Will Florida St. win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
7+ wins 27¢
Current share
—
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-7
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-8
4+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-4
5+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-5
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-6
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-11
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-10
12 wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-12
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNCAAFWINS-26FSU-9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.