SimpleFunctions

Kentucky · KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T10

Kentucky is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 97¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T10.

Price history

50¢ current

+48¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 14, 2026May 17, 2026

Contract brief

If Kentucky is ranked top 10 on the 2026 Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kentucky

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Illinois 76¢

Range

1¢-76¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-UK

May 24, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 24, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

98¢

Spread

97¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T10

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 98¢

Kalshi
97¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
AskSize
98¢5
99¢260

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kentucky is ranked top 10 on the 2026 Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T10-UK

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.