Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere
Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
40¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-100000
May 24, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
May 8, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-100000
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere 40¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 40% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.