SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 8, 2026

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.

Implied probability

40¢
$4K volume
$1K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

Ticker

KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-100000

Market snapshot

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 3:46 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

40¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Past listed close May 8, 2026

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 13, 2026, 3:46 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-100000. Family volume: $4K.

Price history

40¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-100000

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 100,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere 40¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.