Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on May 7, 2026
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on May 7, 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
1¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for May 7, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on May 7, 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXHIGHTHOU-26MAY07-B80.5
May 24, 2026, 10:11 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
May 8, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for May 7, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHTHOU-26MAY07-B80.5
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on May 7, 2026 1¢
Current share
100%
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on May 7, 2026
kalshi · KXHIGHTHOU-26MAY07-B80.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.