Total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election above 780000
Above 780K is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election be above.
Price history
50¢ current
+27¢Contract brief
If the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election is above 780000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 780K
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
Above 710K 42¢
Range
2¢-42¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NMGOV-780000
May 23, 2026, 12:47 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
96¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election be above
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election is above 780000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NMGOV-780000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico Governor General Election be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 710K 42¢
Current share
—
Above 710K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NMGOV-710000
Above 780K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NMGOV-780000
Above 750K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NMGOV-750000
Above 820K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NMGOV-820000
Above 850K
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-NMGOV-850000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.