SimpleFunctions

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >99.99 on May 8, 2026

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >99.99 on May 8, 2026 is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

2¢ current

19¢
0¢25¢
May 7, 2026May 7, 2026

Contract brief

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on May 08, 2026 is above $99.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >99.99 on May 8, 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$38K

Identifier

KXWTI-26MAY08-T99.99

May 24, 2026, 10:21 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 10:21 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

100¢

Spread

100¢

Reported volume

$38K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

May 8, 2026

Family volume

$38K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 100¢

Kalshi
100¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the front-month settle price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate oil on May 08, 2026 is above $99.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 8, 2026

Identifier

KXWTI-26MAY08-T99.99

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$38K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >99.99 on May 8, 2026 2¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.