Valentin Vacherot to win the Cilic vs Vacherot
Will Valentin Vacherot win the Cilic vs Vacherot: Round Of 64 match is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
66¢ current
+59¢Contract brief
If Valentin Vacherot wins the Cilic vs Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Valentin Vacherot win the Cilic vs Vacherot: Round Of 64 match
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$2
Identifier
KXATPMATCH-26MAY08CILVAC-VAC
May 24, 2026, 11:20 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$2
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
May 7, 2026
Family volume
$2
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Valentin Vacherot wins the Cilic vs Vacherot professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 7, 2026
Identifier
KXATPMATCH-26MAY08CILVAC-VAC
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Valentin Vacherot win the Cilic vs Vacherot: Round Of 64 match 66¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.