Zendaya · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27
Zendaya is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 14 inside KXOSCARSUPACTR-27.
Price history
8¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Zendaya has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Zendaya
Rank
#5 of 14
Leader
Anne Hathaway 41¢
Range
1¢-41¢
Family volume
$135
Identifier
KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-ZEN
Sep 5, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 46m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 14
14 outcomes · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$135
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Zendaya has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-ZEN
Event family
KXOSCARSUPACTR-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$135
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Anne Hathaway 41¢
Current share
0%
Anne Hathaway
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-ANN
Penélope Cruz
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-PEN
Sandra Hüller
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-SAN
Mariana di Girolamo
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-MARI
Zendaya
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-ZEN
Inde Navarrette
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-IND
Betty Gilpin
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-BET
Danielle Deadwyler
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-DAN
Gemma Chan
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-GEM
Isabella Rossellini
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-ISA
Margaret Qualley
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-MAR
Parker Posey
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-PAR
Tao Okamoto
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-TAO
Tie
kalshi · KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 8% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.