# Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann

> SK Brann leads at 44%, runner-up 28% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/aalesunds-fk-vs-sk-brann
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.532Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: SK Brann at 44%
- Runner-up: Draw (Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann) at 28%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $15

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Brann | 44¢ | −1pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/aalesunds-fk-vs-sk-brann-sk-brann-polymarket-0x69c60b11b99963a874a8dc11d189ea0461f1df2e6078a8db8fc93cffb63bc426 |
| Draw (Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann) | 28¢ | ±0 | $5 | polymarket | /markets/aalesunds-fk-vs-sk-brann-draw-aalesunds-fk-vs-sk-b-polymarket-0xe949bfcd60753016694c588ff72a0f993d476ce1cda5e6ea8b6118ba4f054264 |
| Aalesunds FK | 23¢ | +1pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/aalesunds-fk-vs-sk-brann-aalesunds-fk-polymarket-0xdaf54f1eb77f97402d41320964c60c4e3588f29fcfd490a31e8602125a0da3cb |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | SK Brann | Draw (Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann) | Aalesunds FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 43 | 34 | 28 |
| 2026-05-07 | 43 | 33 | 26 |
| 2026-05-08 | 42 | 33 | 27 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market represents the aggregated prediction that a match between Aalesunds FK and SK Brann will end in a draw, currently priced at 39%. A draw is currently the most-probable single outcome, ahead of an Aalesunds FK win at 32%, with SK Brann's win probability implied in the remaining portion. The probability is influenced by recent team form, head-to-head history, and tactical matchups. The prediction will resolve when the match is played and the final result is determined. Low trading volume in recent hours suggests limited price movement or fresh information entering the market.

### Key factors

- Current draw probability (39%) exceeds Aalesunds FK win probability (32%), indicating the market expects a relatively balanced contest
- Match outcome depends on team form, injuries, lineup decisions, and tactical setup entering game day
- SK Brann's win probability is the residual third outcome, implicitly priced lower than both draw and Aalesunds FK outcomes
- Zero 24-hour trading volume on both contracts suggests prices may be stale and not reflecting the most recent developments
- Resolution occurs at match completion, with no interim data points or early indicators; full certainty only arrives post-match

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/aalesunds-fk-vs-sk-brann
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=aalesunds-fk-vs-sk-brann

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.