# Aarhus GF vs. FC Midtjylland - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 42% across 19 contracts — refreshed 4 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/aarhus-gf-vs-fc-midtjylland-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:05:50.394Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 42% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF (-2.5) | 3¢ | −3pp | $317 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-viborg-ff-polymarket-0x712d796588599cd8efe54febba9b05ff901c1f2b40228c893a3c3a6ef68337f9 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 33¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| Both Teams to Score | 59¢ | ±0 | $65 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-both-team-polymarket-0xa28be5b331ecf2e1219ca11f0056739001096dfb81d3399913e992d8b291acce |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | +3pp | $43 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| FC Midtjylland (-2.5) | 20¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-fc-midtjy-polymarket-0xf45bbfa0fe579cbd5dc6dedf0607fdeddc293fe87e83a0cd544050fa6999e4b4 |
| O/U 3.5 | 40¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x043502067b848c4f8add2a8ecabd610b14ef7d2cd52151938a5214015642f522 |
| O/U 4.5 | 22¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbd46d79aa02735ee2d7de94c633ea38d509e2495a11888b1bb6d850d1be0ea7e |
| Viborg FF (-1.5) | 7¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-viborg-ff-polymarket-0xa24288dbd5cf40dc102298fd7ffbc84c577e50b8893630b3d4b3fc764209ad69 |
| O/U 2.5 | 63¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x43aeb749a63be4b4c4e1789a39496c7d9440b6cfc8590d8fe179ae9482399d66 |
| FC Midtjylland (-1.5) | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-fc-midtjy-polymarket-0xbb6d717661cf8234a1d10bd0b8448dbafd8651969af6a9b2f36cf1e524ed349d |
| O/U 1.5 | 84¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-midtjylland-vs-viborg-ff-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x690bc0f7785e41a2ce479a31b57de3e5c195222e962774c58096583569795977 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 41 |
| 2026-05-02 | 42 |
| 2026-05-03 | 36 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Viborg FF (-1.5) −4pp 13→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Viborg FF (-2.5) −3pp 8→5¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/aarhus-gf-vs-fc-midtjylland-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=aarhus-gf-vs-fc-midtjylland-more-markets

## License

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