# Who will be the Democratic nominee for Attorney General in Colorado

> Closed. Last odds frozen 7 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/agnomcod
Updated: 2026-07-02T01:20:51.341Z
Category: politics · Topic: election-2026
Status: historical
Closes: 2027-11-03

## Headline

- Leader: Michael Dougherty at 5%
- Runner-up: Michael Dougherty at 5%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hetal Doshi | 5¢ | +2pp | $418 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-attorney-ge-kalshi-kxagnomcod-26-hdos |
| Michael Dougherty | 5¢ | −2pp | $294 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-attorney-ge-kalshi-kxagnomcod-26-mdou |
| David Seligman | 4¢ | −3pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-attorney-ge-kalshi-kxagnomcod-26-dsel |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Hetal Doshi | Michael Dougherty | David Seligman |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | 12 | 17 | 17 |
| 2026-06-28 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 2026-06-29 | — | — | 7 |
| 2026-06-30 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | — | 3 | — |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

Prediction markets currently assign Jena Griswold a 78% probability of becoming the Democratic nominee for Attorney General in Colorado. Griswold's strong position reflects her incumbent advantage as the current Attorney General, name recognition, and fundraising capacity. The remaining 22% of probability is distributed among three challengers: David Seligman and Michael Dougherty are each at 7%, while Hetal Doshi trails at 4%. The Democratic primary race will be settled on the nomination date, likely at the state convention or through a primary vote. Key uncertainties include whether Griswold faces stronger-than-expected primary opposition, whether any challenger successfully mobilizes specific voter blocs, and whether late-stage campaign developments or endorsements shift momentum. The outcome depends on actual voter participation and preference rather than pre-election polling alone.

### Key factors

- Griswold is the sitting Attorney General with significant name recognition and institutional advantages
- Colorado's Democratic primary schedule and nomination rules determine when this contest is decided
- Fundraising disparities between Griswold and challengers reflect resource advantages visible in campaign finance filings
- No single challenger has consolidated opposition to Griswold, with the anti-incumbent vote split among multiple candidates
- Late endorsements from party leadership or major organizations could materially shift candidate viability before the nomination date

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/agnomcod
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=agnomcod
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

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