# Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 37% across 5 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/al-hazem-sc-vs-al-riyadh-saudi-club
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:40.051Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-21

## Headline

- Probability: 37% (liquidity-weighted across 5 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $494

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 13¢ | ±0 | $311 | polymarket | /markets/saudi-arabia-vs-uruguay-saudi-arabia-polymarket-0xaec9b992e0d877c321c7789af5d6fb64ad5e339714fb1000e1e97bf14159ea1a |
| Uruguay | 66¢ | ±0 | $171 | polymarket | /markets/saudi-arabia-vs-uruguay-uruguay-polymarket-0xbc54d73527785bdc7b443cfdf3b0d59558c5ac2bbffca23425ecfbd161b07317 |
| Saudi Arabia | 9¢ | +3pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/spain-vs-saudi-arabia-saudi-arabia-polymarket-0x3abd1b7cf1488504d51a36c1e3f944597dfe6e0545a6fd34ef3d4a3746f90e59 |
| Spain | 86¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/spain-vs-saudi-arabia-spain-polymarket-0x2fcf3968f5feff8c544b1be614f1c7aed22f5051949478bc0b39f9e966cab02a |
| Draw (Spain vs. Saudi Arabia) | 9¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/spain-vs-saudi-arabia-draw-spain-vs-saudi-arabia-polymarket-0x55aa84891f31cedeaef953dfabbb56214ed9549f2ca3ddfe10d395bc58def557 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 47 |
| 2026-05-02 | 36 |
| 2026-05-09 | 29 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Draw (Spain vs. Saudi Arabia) −6pp 17→11¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Spain +5pp 82→87¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · Saudi Arabia +3pp 8→11¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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## License

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