# Macarthur vs Wellington Winner

> Sydney FC leads at 40%, runner-up 32% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/aleaguegame
Updated: 2026-05-09T02:05:43.914Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-23

## Headline

- Leader: Sydney FC at 40%
- Runner-up: Newcastle at 32%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $231
- Resolved: Macarthur

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney FC | 40¢ | ±0 | $106 | kalshi | /markets/sydney-fc-vs-newcastle-winner-sydney-fc-kalshi-kxaleaguegame-26may09sydnuj-syd |
| Newcastle | 32¢ | +1pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/sydney-fc-vs-newcastle-winner-newcastle-kalshi-kxaleaguegame-26may09sydnuj-nuj |
| Tie | 24¢ | +1pp | $124 | kalshi | /markets/sydney-fc-vs-newcastle-winner-tie-kalshi-kxaleaguegame-26may09sydnuj-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Sydney FC | Newcastle | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 38 | 31 | 22 |
| 2026-05-07 | 38 | 32 | 23 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/aleaguegame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=aleaguegame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.