# 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character

> Katsuki Bakugo leads at 67%, runner-up 5% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/animebsa
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.278Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-05-23

## Headline

- Leader: Katsuki Bakugo at 67%
- Runner-up: Tie at 5%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katsuki Bakugo | 67¢ | −1pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-suppor-kalshi-kxanimebsa-26-kat |
| Tie | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-suppor-kalshi-kxanimebsa-26-tie |
| Jinshi | 3¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-suppor-kalshi-kxanimebsa-26-jins |
| Jin Enjoji (Jiji) | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-suppor-kalshi-kxanimebsa-26-jin |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Katsuki Bakugo | Tie | Jinshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 15 | — | 3 |
| 2026-04-10 | 38 | 5 | — |
| 2026-04-24 | 65 | — | 2 |
| 2026-04-25 | 67 | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | 68 | — | — |
| 2026-05-02 | — | — | 2 |
| 2026-05-08 | 67 | — | 3 |

_22 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This represents the market's current odds that a specific character—likely Katsuki Bakugo based on the contract code—will win the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Supporting Character. The 67% probability reflects confidence in this outcome, though with roughly one-third of traders expecting an alternative winner. The current level is driven by the character's prominence in a major ongoing series and likely strong fan voting patterns typical of Crunchyroll's annual awards. The resolution hinges on the official awards ceremony, typically held in early 2027 when Crunchyroll announces winners. Key uncertainties include late-season character development that could shift fan sentiment, voter participation rates across different demographics, and whether competing characters from other popular series capture stronger support. The relatively thin market volume ($3M across contracts) suggests modest but engaged interest in this specific category. Changes in market pricing would likely reflect new episodes airing, award nomination patterns becoming public, or shifts in fan engagement metrics.

### Key factors

- Character prominence and development trajectory in their source series between now and the 2026 awards voting window
- Fan voting participation rates and demographic distribution, which historically favors characters from series with large, engaged fanbases
- Competition from supporting characters in other concurrent popular anime, particularly from ongoing series with comparable viewership
- Any official award nomination announcements or category rule changes Crunchyroll publishes prior to voting
- Market liquidity and contract volume trends—current volumes suggest niche interest that could shift with major anime releases or fandom activity

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/animebsa
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=animebsa

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.