# 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic)

> Ghada Omar as Yor Forger leads at 22%, runner-up 18% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/animebvapa
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:39.035Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-05-23

## Headline

- Leader: Ghada Omar as Yor Forger at 22%
- Runner-up: Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto at 18%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghada Omar as Yor Forger | 22¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-voice-kalshi-kxanimebvapa-26-gha |
| Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto | 18¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-voice-kalshi-kxanimebvapa-26-tar |
| Moataz El—Shazly as Heisuke Mashimo | 8¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-voice-kalshi-kxanimebvapa-26-moa |
| Hamoud Abu Hassoun as Loid Forger (Childhood) | 7¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-voice-kalshi-kxanimebvapa-26-ham |
| Fatima Zakaria as Osaragi | 7¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-voice-kalshi-kxanimebvapa-26-fat |
| Raafat Bazo as Yuri Briar | 6¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-voice-kalshi-kxanimebvapa-26-raa |
| Tie | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2026-crunchyroll-anime-award-for-best-anime-voice-kalshi-kxanimebvapa-26-tie |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Ghada Omar as Yor Forger | Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto | Moataz El—Shazly as Heisuke Mashimo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 19 | 11 | 9 |
| 2026-04-21 | 22 | 18 | 7 |
| 2026-04-22 | 22 | — | 8 |
| 2026-04-23 | 21 | — | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 22 | 17 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | — | 18 | — |

_15 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability represents the market's current estimate that an unnamed Arabic-language voice performer will win the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance. At 22%, this contract leads a seven-way split of possible winners, suggesting significant uncertainty about who the eventual recipient will be. The probability reflects limited trading volume (7 contracts on Kalshi) and sparse price discovery in this particular category. The outcome depends on both the actual voting patterns of Crunchyroll's audience and industry voters, and on which voice performances from 2025–2026 anime releases are recognized as most outstanding. The award ceremony and official winner announcement—scheduled for early 2026—will provide definitive resolution. Until then, the market is pricing in moderate confidence in this leading candidate relative to alternatives, with the remaining 78% distributed among six other potential winners.

### Key factors

- Only 7 Kalshi contracts track this outcome, indicating thin liquidity and potentially unreliable price discovery compared to more heavily traded anime award categories
- The leading contract (KXANIMEBVAPA-26-GHA at 22%) significantly outperforms the Kalshi average price of 10%, suggesting some traders hold stronger conviction than others
- No information provided identifies which specific voice artist or performance this contract references, making it difficult to independently verify the basis for the 22% probability
- Crunchyroll's voting process and audience composition for this category are not specified; changes in voting methodology or participation could shift probabilities
- The broader anime awards ecosystem shows other categories (Best Anime Song at 61%, Best Continuing Series at 47%) drawing higher confidence, suggesting this voice artist category may face structural headwinds

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/animebvapa
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=animebvapa

## License

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