# Argentina Presidential Election Winner

> Javier Milei leads at 46%, runner-up 40% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 22 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/argentina-presidential-election-winner
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.261Z
Category: politics · Topic: election-2026
Status: active
Closes: 2027-10-24

## Headline

- Leader: Javier Milei at 46%
- Runner-up: Axel Kicillof at 40%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $926

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 46¢ | −1pp | $623 | polymarket | /markets/argentina-presidential-election-winner-javier-mile-polymarket-0x338f6f3e5ff30f189a7228290a66b9a4213722032da364c8635b496589ddfd3b |
| Axel Kicillof | 40¢ | — | $30 | polymarket | /markets/argentina-presidential-election-winner-axel-kicill-polymarket-0xf35a561cedd2aab1aad1744ea4b05e91d38edb4c0b64c76196bd11a4cf0b6bde |
| Mauricio Macri | 5¢ | ±0 | $213 | polymarket | /markets/argentina-presidential-election-winner-mauricio-ma-polymarket-0x9e7ff979adcbb3d593393fb7f476db93c89ca7deb8de68085c02080a0c793d11 |
| Dante Gebel | 5¢ | — | $30 | polymarket | /markets/argentina-presidential-election-winner-dante-gebel-polymarket-0x22f05510fff106bf6675e3e7117ba2d56bae312a874d8686e3b2cdc0199a79cb |
| Sergio Massa | 3¢ | — | $30 | polymarket | /markets/argentina-presidential-election-winner-sergio-mass-polymarket-0xea83e5554bfb997ea9d6569133e45165e8613dcc8fe6d0ae2a1c6cc1ae7c3a7f |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Javier Milei | Axel Kicillof | Mauricio Macri |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | 47 | 42 | 5 |
| 2026-05-28 | 46 | — | 5 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/argentina-presidential-election-winner
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=argentina-presidential-election-winner
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.