# Will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together

> Before 2030 leads at 46%, runner-up 40% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/artistcollabthugandgunna
Updated: 2026-05-09T06:35:25.894Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2030-01-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before 2030 at 46%
- Runner-up: Before 2029 at 40%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 46¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-young-thug-and-gunna-make-a-song-together-bef-kalshi-kxartistcollabthugandgunna-30-2030 |
| Before 2029 | 40¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-young-thug-and-gunna-make-a-song-together-bef-kalshi-kxartistcollabthugandgunna-30-2029 |
| Before 2028 | 35¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-young-thug-and-gunna-make-a-song-together-bef-kalshi-kxartistcollabthugandgunna-30-2028 |
| Before 2027 | 25¢ | −5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-young-thug-and-gunna-make-a-song-together-bef-kalshi-kxartistcollabthugandgunna-30-2027 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before 2030 | Before 2029 | Before 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 48 | — | — |
| 2026-04-10 | 47 | — | — |
| 2026-04-12 | — | — | 36 |
| 2026-04-18 | 49 | 43 | 38 |
| 2026-04-28 | 47 | — | — |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This contract asks whether rappers Young Thug and Gunna will collaborate on a song together by the end of 2030. At 46%, the market prices this as slightly more likely than not. Young Thug and Gunna have collaborated previously and share overlapping creative circles in Atlanta trap music, which supports the possibility of future work together. However, both artists maintain independent project schedules and the five-year timeframe creates uncertainty about whether circumstances will align for a release. The main drivers of probability movements would be any public statements from either artist about planned collaborations, announcements of joint projects or features, or new solo album releases that might indicate their current creative direction. Resolution ultimately depends on whether an official song crediting both artists appears on a commercial release, streaming platform, or official announcement before December 31, 2030.

### Key factors

- Young Thug and Gunna have previously collaborated (e.g., 'So Much Fun' era projects), providing historical precedent for working together
- Both artists maintain active independent careers with separate record label relationships and solo project schedules that may or may not intersect
- Public statements or social media activity from either artist about planned collaborations or features could signal intent to work together
- A five-year resolution window (through 2030) provides substantial time for industry relationships to evolve, their positions to change, or scheduling to align
- Official release would require both artists' consent and coordination across production, label clearance, and distribution channels

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/artistcollabthugandgunna
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=artistcollabthugandgunna

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.