# Will RÜFÜS DU SOL have 100000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 85% across 15 contracts — refreshed 23 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/artiststreamsy
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:11.218Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-02

## Headline

- Probability: 85% (liquidity-weighted across 15 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (15 contracts)
- 24h volume: $7K

## Bound contracts (15)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 28.0B | 78¢ | +9pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-have-28000000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-drake26dec31-28.0b |
| Above 4.5B | 97¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-beyonc-have-4500000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-bey26dec31-4.5b |
| Above 27.0B | 83¢ | +5pp | $623 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-have-27000000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-drake26dec31-27.0b |
| Above 13B | 94¢ | +2pp | $610 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-have-13000000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-drake26dec31-13.0b |
| Above 17.5B | 94¢ | −2pp | $590 | kalshi | /markets/will-taylor-swift-have-17500000000-streams-on-lumi-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-swift26dec31-17.5b |
| Above 26.0B | 88¢ | +4pp | $529 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-have-26000000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-drake26dec31-26.0b |
| Above 5.5B | 93¢ | +2pp | $499 | kalshi | /markets/will-harry-styles-have-5500000000-streams-on-lumin-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-styles26dec31-5.5b |
| Above 3.8B | 97¢ | ±0 | $312 | kalshi | /markets/will-frank-ocean-have-3800000000-streams-on-lumina-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-ocean26dec31-3.8b |
| Above 22B | 96¢ | ±0 | $236 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-have-22000000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-drake26dec31-22.0b |
| Above 7.25B | 39¢ | −5pp | $190 | kalshi | /markets/will-beyonc-have-7250000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-bey26dec31-7.25b |
| Above 1.3B | 94¢ | +1pp | $129 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-notorious-big-have-1300000000-streams-on-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-biggie26dec31-1.3b |
| Above 7.0B | 52¢ | −2pp | $96 | kalshi | /markets/will-beyonc-have-7000000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-bey26dec31-7.0b |
| Above 6.5B | 96¢ | +2pp | $17 | kalshi | /markets/will-kendrick-lamar-have-6500000000-streams-on-lum-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-kenny26dec31-6.5b |
| Above 8.25B | 96¢ | +37pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-lady-gaga-have-8250000000-streams-on-luminate-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-gaga26dec31-8.25b |
| Above 6.25B | 85¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-beyonc-have-6250000000-streams-on-luminate-du-kalshi-kxartiststreamsy-bey26dec31-6.25b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | 65 |
| 2026-05-14 | 72 |
| 2026-05-21 | 74 |
| 2026-05-28 | 78 |

_17 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-26 · Above 6.25B +82pp 4→86¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Above 6.25B −70pp 74→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-26 · Above 7.25B +39pp 8→47¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Above 7.25B −34pp 40→6¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Above 7.0B −32pp 45→13¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/artiststreamsy
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=artiststreamsy

## License

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